I have been told by a very experienced EU agricultural negotiator that there will be a deal. However, due to the way the EU operate it will probably be struck on 30th March, when Brexit day is the 29th.
Furthermore, if we “crash” out onto WTO trading arrangements, the tariffs the EU can impose on sheep meat are maximums. They do not have to impose any tariffs at all. Both sides have said they would like to achieve a tariff free trading arrangement.
Do not give up on sheep production for fear of tariffs, which might not ever be imposed!
Robert Venner, Managing Partner of Sedgemoor Market and AHDB Beef & Lamb Sector Board Member